Categories
Defence vision EU Defensievisie EU European Union Mission UN World

General assumptions Strategic Vision EDU Armed Forces 2045


I use a number of general assumptions in my Vision EDU Forces 2045. Worked out in this page!


download last update: 26-09-2022 18:30
– Included EUropean programmes for combat and (heavy) transport helicopters.
– CT 30 mm LR on the (Sea/Land) Protector RWS/APPS will become 40 mm CL AGL (fixed combi system replacing the now commonly used 12.7 mm heavy machine guns in addition to the now influxing active protection system/APSs and smoke canister protection launchers. Looks a bit like this Arquus Hornet RWS).
– Change in recce vehicles types in my brigade set up in Land Forces.
– Correction squad set-up. Still 10 members but crew for vehicles separated from squad again. So 4 members crew in battle tanks, 2 members crew in IFV&APC. All working in attack helicopter like set-up, doubled in the battle tanks.
– Changes size of naval units and air squadrons with extra reserve.
– In 2045, NATO will no longer exist. Even though it now thinks to be alive again because of the conflict in Ukraine after the French president Macron recently called NATO brain death…now the EU seems to become brain death after taking a wrong turn. But this is an apparent phase…just like the earlier claimed NATO successes of its missions in Kosovo and Afghanistan and Iraq and Libya and Syria…and so now Ukraine. The organisation took the wrong turn by collaborating with US and UK and their sympathisers in their egocentric nationalistic project against Russia…and the EU(!!). And will, unlike the EU, not be able to come back and recover from that.
– rotation scheme naval vessels and crews.
– Changes in numbers of naval forces.
– Exit 2043, now snapshot 2045, 100 years after end of WO2. More symbolic for Europe as a whole.

– MCMV’s naval forces split into larger ocean and smaller coastal/inland waterways variant. 
– KMW APVT IFV for Marines out, replaced by standard IFV with adaptations. 
– Including Russia, Belarus, Georgia and Armenia.
– Changes numbers fighters EDU air forces.
– Squadron size helicopters and UCAV.
– 3>4 platoons every company. More vehicles.



Index –



In General


GENERAL MAIN TASKS
The grounds for deployment of the armed forces are listed in Article XX of the Constitution. In connection with this, three main tasks of the armed forces can be distinguished, namely:

  • Protection of the integrity of the own and the allied (EU and NATO) territory;
  • Promotion of the international legal order and stability;
  • Supporting civil authorities in law enforcement, disaster relief and humanitarian assistance, both nationally and internationally.

GENERAL AMBITION LEVEL
An ambition level has been formulated based on the main tasks, the safety analysis and the available financial resources.

The Xxxxxx armed forces will contribute to the following:

  • The protection of the own and allied (EDU and NATO) territory if necessary with all available means;
  • An active contribution to the integrated foreign policy of the [NAME COUNTRY]. This includes:
    – high-quality and technologically advanced military contributions to international operations in all parts of the spectrum of violence. The focus will be more on defensive and deterrent operations. However, where necessary one can also take offensive action.
    – Contribute to an integrated, comprehensive approach in which various departments, international organizations, non-governmental organizations and (local or regional) businesses play a role. In this context, the 5D approach is used: Diplomacy, Defense and Development, Disaster Relief and Data.
    5D
  • A contribution to the ambition level of the European Union and EDU. In this context, the armed forces will continue to contribute to the collective defense and response capacities of the European Union, the EDU Battlegroups;
  • A contribution to NATO’s level of ambition. In connection with this, the armed forces will continue to make a contribution of varying size to the NATO Response Force (NRF);
  • Participation (continuous) in an operation in the higher part of the spectrum of violence with xx battalions, xx special force operation group, xx combat aircraft, xx mixed group (combat) helicopters, xx MALE RPAS UCAVs and or a maritime task force of different ships;
  • Simultaneous participation for a longer period of time in a maximum of xx operations in the lower part of the spectrum of violence with task groups of battalion size or, in air operations and maritime operations, their equivalents;
  • Acting in land operations as lead nation at brigade/Division level and, together with other countries, at army force level, in maritime operations as lead nation at task group level and in air operations with contributions at equivalent level;
  • The execution of special operations, including evacuation operations and counter-terrorism operations;
  • Provision of international emergency assistance at the request of civil authorities.
  • Participation in police missions, including those of the European Gendarmerie Unit, with officers and units and in small-scale civil-military missions;
  • Provision of (para) military experts for the education, training and advice of security organizations in other countries;
  • Contributing to the safety of society within the boundaries of the country, under civilian authority. This concerns in particular:
    – the execution of national tasks, such as border control, including the Coast Guard;
    – military assistance with the criminal enforcement of the rule of law as well as the maintenance of public order and security, such as with special assistance units and the deployment of the EOD explosives disposal;
    – (para) military assistance in the fight against disasters.

Defence budget : 2% GDP. No more, no less!

Why is 2% GDP defense budget needed?!

ESF881lXYAA6rKL

Back to Index


ELECTRONIC AND CYBER WARFARE

Electronic and Cyber warfare is a serious task area for the armed forces and a large Cyber and Electronic Warfare Command operating within the central organisations and units in the separate forces.

Primarily, this is defensively oriented. All weapon systems, but also control and ICT systems and networks that are linked to it, are protected by this command. However, this command also becomes capable of carrying out electronic and cyber attacks in order to disrupt or flatten an opponent’s systems and the like. This either as a deterrent or as a way to complicate the warfare of an opponent.

There is close cooperation with allies within a common Cyber and Electronic Operations Force EDU Staff. This umbrella staff is housed in ….. This leads to a close form of cooperation in the field of operations, education, training, logistics and maintenance. However, all countries remain sovereign with regard to the political decision to deploy their electronic and cyber units and resources. The Commander EDU Cyber and Electronic Operations Force is the head of this staff.

cyberwarrior


EDU STANDARDIZATION AGREEMENT (EDU-STANAG)

Mostly copy the STANAG’s model. Some differences.
– Standard service rifle cartridge : 6x45mm (cased telescoped).
….

Back to Index



or-37761Land forces


A division consists 2-3 brigades and HQ and support units. A brigade consists of 4 combined arms battalions/regiments and HQ and support units. Each combined arms battalion/regiment consists of 3 (combined) arms companies, HQ and support units. Each (combined) arms company consists of 3 arms platoons, HQ and support unit. Each arms platoon consists of 4 arms squads, HQ and support unit.

As each soldier in a infantry squad of 10 has also a specialisation (as squad leader/navigator/communications, assistent squad leader/navigator/communications, 2 as marksman/driver/fire support, 2 as grenadier/MGL+RPG or MANPADS, 2 as engineer-EOD/rifle+UAV/UGV, 2 as medic/rifle+UAV/UGV). Special operation forces/commando’s use the same kind of setup and specialisations.

Often more of each other’s specialisations are being mastered to make the squad more resilient. Like basic medical knowledge and skills or navigation and communication skills or working with UGV and UAV’s or driving armoured vehicles. In a medium/heavy infantry fighting vehicle/IFV the squad leader and a marksman/driver complement the regular crew of 2 (driver and vehicle leader/navigator/communications/gunner) in a 2×2 driving&fighting team like in the medium/heavy battle tank. Vehicle crew and infantry squad form a collective team operating and fighting together. An Air Mobile Ranger or Marines Raider squad of 10 can operate their own vehicle (say an EagleV 6×6 APC) in a 2+8 combination when using them for their mobility. Using smaller vehicles the squad is split in two.


Mechanized, Airmobile, Marine and Mountain Brigades

Each brigades consists of a :
– HQ/support battalion with
– 3 combined HQ platoons;
– Electronic and cyber warfare company;
– 2 Reconnaissance squadrons/companies.
– 4 combined arms battalions/regiments (details see below);
– Engineer battalion;
– Logistics battalion;
– Maintenance battalion;
– Medical battalion.
– Initial Military Formation Centre (provides the practical training for the brigade’s recruits);
And the Airmobile, Marine and Mountain Brigades also a :
– Helicopter Aviation Regiment (details see Air Forces below).


Back to Index

The different combined arms battalions/regiments are :

Mechanized combined arms battalion/regiment

Each battalion consists of a :
– HQ/Support company with;
— 3 combined HQ platoons;
— Electronic and cyber warfare platoon;
— Medical platoon;
– Reconnaissance squadron/company;
– 3 Combat companies;
— 3 combined arms companies with 2 platoons with each 4x heavy/medium battle tanks/MBT’s (35-50t) and 2 platoons with 4x heavy/medium infantry fighting vehicles/IFV’s (30-45t);
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Self-Propelled Howitzer (SPH)
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS);
– 1 Mortar battery with 4x Self-Propelled 120mm Mortars (SPM);
– 1 Air Defence (AD) battery with 4x SHORAD SP air defence systems;
– Engineer company;
– Logistics company;
– Maintenance company.

A rough estimate of the vehicles of all support units of the mechanized combined arms battalion, the brigade and the division multiplied from every available combat battalion :
= +/- 36 heavy/medium battle tanks (24 in units + 12 education/reserve)(like MGCS, NGCS, Leopard2, Leclerc,..);
= +/- 36 heavy/medium IFV’s (24 in units + 12 education/reserve)(like Puma, Warrior, VBCI, IFV versions MGCS and NGCS ..);
= +/- 18 armoured variants on tank chassis (heavy/medium);
= +/- 48 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (medium)(16 in units + 8 education/reserve)(like Ajax recce, EBRC Jaguar, Centauro II,..);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 155mm Howitzer (SPH)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 120mm Mortar (SPM)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 SHORAD SP air defence systems (4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 96 armoured vehicles support variants (heavy like Boxer or Griffon, Piranha, Pandur, Freccia ..)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 48 armoured vehicles support variants (medium like EagleV 6×6 or Serval, LMV 6×6, ..)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 48 armoured vehicles support variants (light like EagleV 4×4 or VBAE, LMV, VAMTAC, ..)(part UGV/OPV);
= and +/- same total number in heavy and medium trucks, light utility vehicles, motorbikes and trailers.


Back to Index

Marine combined arms battalion/regiment

Each battalion consists of a :
– HQ/Support company with;
— 3 combined HQ platoons;
— Electronic and cyber warfare platoon;
— Medical platoon;
– 2 Reconnaissance squadron/company;
– 3 Combat companies;
— 2 combined arms company with 2 platoons with each 4x medium/heavy battle tanks/MBT’s (35-50t) and 2 platoons with 4x medium/heavy infantry fighting vehicles/IFV’s (25-40t);
— 1 Raider company with (when not on foot or vessel/LCVP or helicopter) 4 platoons with each 4x wheeled 4×4/6×6 APCs (10-20t);
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Self-Propelled Howitzer (SPH)
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS);
– 1 Mortar battery with 4x Self-Propelled 120mm Mortars (SPM);
– 1 Air Defence (AD) battery with 4x SHORAD SP air defence systems;
– Engineer company;
– Logistics company;
– Maintenance company.

A rough estimate of the vehicles of all support units of the marine combined arms battalion, the brigade and the division multiplied from every available combat battalion :
= +/- 24 medium/heavy battle tanks (16 in units + 8 education/reserve)(like MGCS, NGCS, Leopard2, Leclerc,..);
= +/- 24 medium/heavy IFV’s (16 in units + 8 education/reserve)(like Puma, Warrior, VBCI, IFV versions MGCS and NGCS ..);
= +/- 24 light wheeled APC’s (16 in units + 8 education/reserve)(like EagleV 6×6, Serval, …);
= +/- 12 armoured variants on tank chassis (medium/heavy);
= +/- 18 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (medium)(12 in units + 6 education/reserve)(like Ajax recce, EBRC Jaguar, Centauro II,..);
= +/- 30 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (light)(20 in units + 10 education/reserve)(like Wiesel 3);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 155mm Howitzer (SPH)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 120mm Mortar (SPM)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 SHORAD SP air defence systems (4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 24 armoured support variants (heavy like Boxer or Griffin, Piranha, Pandur, Freccia..)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 72 armoured support variants (medium like BVS10 successor)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 72 armoured vehicles (light like EagleV 4×4 or VBAE, LMV, VAMTAC, …)(part UGV/OPV);
= and +/- same total number in medium and light trucks, light utility vehicles, motorbikes and trailers.


Back to Index

Airborne and mountain combined arms battalion/regiment

Each battalion consists of a :
– HQ/Support company with;
— 3 combined HQ platoons;
— Electronic and cyber warfare platoon;
— Medical platoon;
– Reconnaissance squadron/company;
– 3 Combat companies;
— 1 combined arms company with 2 platoons with each 4x medium/heavy battle tanks/MBT’s (35-50t) and 2 platoons with 4x medium/heavy infantry fighting vehicles/IFV’s (25-40t);
— 2 (Airborne or Mountain) Ranger companies with each (when not on foot or transport plane or helicopter) 4 platoons with each 4x wheeled 4×4/6×6 APCs (10-20t);
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Self-Propelled Howitzer (SPH)
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS);
– 1 Mortar battery with 4x Self-Propelled 120mm Mortars (SPM);
– 1 Air Defence (AD) battery with 4x SHORAD SP air defence systems;
– Engineer company;
– Logistics company;
– Maintenance company.

A rough estimate of the vehicles of all support units of the airborne and mountain combined arms battalion, the brigade and the division multiplied from every available combat battalion :
= +/- 12 medium/heavy battle tanks (8 in units + 4 education/reserve)(like MGCS, NGCS, Leopard2, Leclerc,..);
= +/- 12 medium/heavy IFV’s (8 in units + 4 education/reserve)(like Puma, VBCI, IFV versions MGCS and NGCS..);
= +/- 48 light wheeled APC’s (32 in units + 16 education/reserve)(medium/light like EagleV 6×6, Serval, …);
= +/- 6 armoured variants on tank chassis (medium/heavy);
= +/- 12 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (light)(8 in units + 4 education/reserve)(like Ajax recce, EBRC Jaguar, Centauro II,..);
= +/- 36 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (light)(24 in units + 12 education/reserve)(like Wiesel 3);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled Howitzer (SPH)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 120mm Mortar (SPM)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 SHORAD SP air defence systems (4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 24 armoured vehicles support variants (heavy like Boxer or Griffin, Piranha, Pandur, Freccia..)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 48 armoured vehicles support variants (medium like EagleV 6×6 or Serval, LMV 6×6, or BvS10 successor for mountain …)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 72 armoured vehicles support variants (light like EagleV 4×4 or VBAE, LMV, VAMTAC, …)(part UGV/OPV);
= and +/- same total number in medium and light trucks, light utility vehicles, motorbikes and trailers.

Back to Index


N/MGCS MEDIUM-HEAVY BATTLE TANK

(Possible) New or Main Ground Combat System (N/MGCS) has a crew of 4 in a 2×2 driving&fighting team, 2 in armoured module in front chassis (driver, communicator/gunner), 2 in armoured module in turret (second driver, commander/gunner). Both modules interconnected. All able from their positions to drive the tank and work the observation and targeting systems or the UAV and UGVs. The tank has a weight of 35t in its basic configuration, air transportable by A400M+ and larger, and 50t with all the extra armour installed. The N/MGCS is designed to accommodate armour in protection classes which are wholly or partly interchangeable. The tank has its hybrid engine in the front part of the chassis and reinforced rubber tracks. The tank is armed with a 130mm gun in the one-crew turret with a autoloader and magazine (24 rounds) in the back of the turret. this magazine can be connected to an additional magazine (12 rounds) in the rear side of the chassis for reload, with the turret in the forward position. Both turret and chassis magazine can be reloaded from outside by a supply vehicle. Coaxial a CT 5.56mm MG (artist’s impressions of a more conservative design as example – Werecat Tank by Marcel Adam CG)

EZV0RNAWsAAU3WU

Also an internal 60mm mortar for support infantry and close protection. On the turret roof a Land Protector RWS/APPS with a 40mm AGL and integrated active/passive protection system/APPS. In the back of the chassis on the other side of the magazine and the entrance a snap-in VLS is positioned for a mix of light ATGMs, light SAMs (or a combined missile?!) and light UCAVs. The space of the extra magazine and VLS in the back of the chassis can when empty also be used to transport personal in emergency or special missions. Access and exit for both crew and transported personal through a clamshell door in the middle of the back of the vehicle. The tank is equipped with passive and an active protection system (APPS) that is integrated with the RWS.

Back to Index

marcel-adam-side-render-r-IFV-by StrategNL The chassis is the basis for also an medium/heavy infantry fighting vehicle IFV with an unmanned turret with CT40 mm cannon and same secondary armaments as the N/MGCS. Weight also difference in basic and up armoured modus of 30 to 45t and a crew of 2 + 10 infantry squad (see picture). And also a 155mm SP howitzer, SHORAD air defence, recovery, engineer and some other variants.

Another more futuristic (re)design (of the former Swedish UDES model) by me of a turretless future MGCS/tank with a crew of 4 again (2×2 driving&fighting team). Seeing more tasks (using and fighting drones, situational protection a.o.). Based on my own knowledge and insights on the topic. Would be my preference. Also in IFV version (2×2+8).
My future tank

Back to Index


SHORAD SP AD – CANNON/SAM/LASER CIWS

Turret like AGM 155mm and SHORAD module with RAPIDFire NG (AESA radar, 2x CT40 40 mm cannons, a light SAM system (LFK-NG VLS) and a laser system CIWS and a RWS/APPS 40 mm AGL. Also naval version.

AGM SHORAD


MISSION TIME

Personal. Not 6 but 4 months. So 4×4 cycle of 4 months.
>>Work-up>mission>recuperation>maintenance><
And 1 on/3 off before a new mission.

Material can last longer and more cycles. Then rotating personal uses and/or maintain the same material.

Back to Index



DJIBOUTI-EU-PIRACY-SECURITYNaval forces


VISION EDU 2045 NAVAL FORCES
(Example EDU Naval Forces 2045)

CV(N): +/- 72.000t – mix of max 72 fighters, helicopters, VTOL UAV’s and AEW&Tankers;
LHA: +/- 36.000t – mix of max 36 helicopters and VTOL UAV’s;
LHD: +/- 18.000t – mix of max 18 helicopters and VTOL UAV’s.


NAVAL TASK FORCES EDU

  • 6 Carrier Task Groups (2 operational at any time) of : 1 aircraft carrier, 2 destroyer/frigate air defence, 3 frigates ASW, 2 submarine SSK, 2 AOR vessels.
  • 6 Amphibious Task Groups (2 operational at any time) of : 1 LHA, 2 LHDs, 2 destroyer/frigate air defence, 3 frigates ASW, 2 submarines SSK, 2 AOR vessels.
  • 24 Patrol Task Groups (8 operational at any time) of : 1 destroyer/frigate air defence, 3 frigates ASW, 2 submarines SSK, 1 AOR vessel.
  • 12 Ocean Mine Countermeasures Task Groups (4 operational at any time) of : 4 Ocean MCM vessels.

Mostly in different and smaller formations, part in maintenance and other part working-up.


OPV MEDIUM UNMANNED SURFACE PATROL VESSEL 
– 1 with destroyer, frigate, corvette.

ctiuc-wwoaa9fou-kopie


OPV MEDIUM UNMANNED SURFACE SUPPORT VESSEL 
– 2 with fleet support ships and 1 with LST.

FCS 5009 Patrol 4


CANNON/SAM/LASER CIWS

  • Turret like AGM 155mm and SHORAD module with RAPIDFire NG (AESA radar, 2x CT40 40 mm cannons, a light SAM system (LFK-NG VLS) and a laser system CIWS and RWS/APPS 40 mm AGL. Also land version (see on picture).

AGM-Shorad-Iveco-8x8-


MISSION-TIME

For personal. Not 6 but 4 months. So 4×4 cycle of 4 months.
>>Work-up>mission/operational>recuperation>maintenance><
And 1 on/3 off before a new mission.

Material can last longer and more cycles. Then rotating personal uses and/or maintain the same material. Like a frigate that can stay 8 months away from its homeport and using a rotating 2 crew-model. 
(An example)
rotation scheme for naval vessels and crews

Back to Index



un-a400m-un-rafale-et-un-eurofighter-allemand-lors-des-repetitions-a-parisAir forces

(example EDU Air forces 2045)
VISION EDU 2045 AIR FORCES


SQUADRON-SIZE
– 16 (+8 long maintenance, testing, reserve) for fighters, attack, transport and VTOL UCAV/OPV medium helicopters and trainers.
– 8 (+4 long maintenance, testing, training, reserve) or less for transport, AEW and tanker planes and MALE (VTOL) UCAV’s.
– 16 (+8 long maintenance, testing, reserve) for VTOL UCAV/OPV helicopter medium (H160M, AW139M, ..)
– 24 (+12 long maintenance, testing, reserve) for VTOL UCAV/OPV helicopter light (AWHero, V200 Skeldar, S100, VRS700, and successors)


HELICOPTER AVIATION REGIMENT
A regiment for every airmobile, mountain and marine brigade.
– 16 (+8 long maintenance, testing, reserve) attack helicopters;
– 16 (+8 long maintenance, testing, reserve) recce/utility OPV helicopters/large VTOL UCAV;
– 24 (+12 long maintenance, testing, reserve) medium VTOL UCAV;
– 16 (+8 long maintenance, testing, reserve) medium transport helicopters (NH90, AW101, future replacement);
– 16 (+8 long maintenance, testing, reserve) heavy transport helicopters (Chinook, future replacement).


NAVAL ATTACK HELICOPTER ASW/ASuW
– 3 on aircraft carrier
– 3 on LHA
– 3 on LHD
– 1 on DD/FF ASW
– 1 on DD/FF AD
– 1 on corvette


RESUPPLY TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
– 2 on AOR (+ 1 training&reserve)


VTOL UCAV/OPV HELICOPTER MEDIUM (H160M, AW139M, ..)
– 16+8 for every airmobile, mountain and marine brigade.
– 3 for every naval and air force base
– 3 for aircraft carrier
– 3 for LHA
– 3 for LHD
– 1 for AOR
– 1 for DD, FF and corvette

VTOL UCAV/OPV HELICOPTER LIGHT (AWHero, V200 Skeldar, S100, VRS700, and successors)
– 24+12 for every mechanised, airmobile, mountain and marine brigade.
– 3 for every naval and air force base
– 6 for aircraft carrier
– 6 for LHA
– 3 for LHD
– 2 for AOR
– 2 for DD, FF or corvette


MISSION TIME

Personal. Not 6 but 4 months. So 4×4 cycle of 4 months.
>>Work-up>mission>recuperation>maintenance><
And 1 on/3 off before a new mission.

Material can last longer and more cycles. Then rotating personal uses and/or maintain the same material.


EUropean programme for combat and transport helicopters (image example based on Airbus Helicopters X3).
Crew 2 + 20 fully equipped soldiers.
Crew in both versions in attack helicopter cockpit configuration and both armed with nose-mounted turret with 40mm CT cannon or 40 mm AGL and an assortment of external missiles can be mounted on the stub wings. The combat helicopter variant has more ammunition and larger propellant supply.
X3 utility concept

EUropean programme for heavy transport helicopter (Chinook-based example pictured).
Crew 2 + 40 fully equipped soldiers.
Future Chinook

Back to Index



unnamedGendarmerie forces

…..


MISSION TIME

Personal. Not 6 but 4 months. So 4×4 cycle of 4 months.
>>Work-up>mission>recuperation>maintenance><
And 1 on/3 off before a new mission.

Material can last longer and more cycles. Then rotating personal uses and/or maintain the same material.

Back to Index



WORKED OUT ARMED FORCES OF A COUNTRY BASED ON THESE ASSUMPTIONS

Future (today still fictional) country “The Netherlands 2045‘ (link in Dutch) or with still the Netherlands, Belgium and Luxembourg the “Benelux Armed Forces 2045”. 
Strategische Visie Krijgsmacht Der Nederlanden 2045 (In Dutch)



Categories
ColdWar Conflicts Conflicts Europe European Union Foreign policy Nationalism NATO Propaganda & Disinformation Radicalisation Second World War Security policy EUrope UN US foreign policy War World

Peace Plan War Ukraine


Latest update: 09-09-2022

– The proposed new border also involves the Oskil river.


My original peace plan was from before the ugly and (again) disastrous proxy war in Ukraine broke out. After the in my opinion deliberately provoked high strategic red line of Russia in Ukraine by the nationalistic US&UK governments and their collaborators&sympathisers in NATO and the EU. Unfortunately…and I cannot like this either…Russia, after having put them against the wall one time more, then proceeded to attack Ukraine to maintain that red line. And the horrific proxy war followed has been going on for several months now.

Although the propaganda storyline of the US and UK and their sympathisers is starting to sink through the ice and also perpetrator UK PM Boris Johnson and supporter Australian PM Scott Morrison are exit it is still very unclear when and where the fighting will stop for a first peace attempt by probably French president Macron. Nationalist and primary perpetrator US President Joe Biden and remaining collaborators&sympathisers and too many faithful gullibles seem to want to continue the proxy war for now. Until then, it is difficult to indicate now what a peace plan should look like. Except that this nationalist project MUST fail and both Russia and Belarus besides Ukraine are also part of an European collective future. So working on an adapted version.


My peace plan proposal to end this ugly…now…proxy war in Ukraine in Europe
(Strikethrough are parts of the version before the conflict deliberately escalated…there may be notes on this in italics.)

Ukraine will only become a member of NATO when Belarus and Russia become members of the reformed NATO too. (The already ‘brain death’ NATO…president Macron was right on that…took the wrong turn by supporting again this faulty nationalistic project of the US, UK and its sympathisers after Afghanistan and Iraq. Probably thinking to become relevant again. And in that sense, it will have no future, especially not for EU security, which it turned against with this choice. Unfortunately, it could have been so different if one sees my old peace plan.)

The main point of the peace plan after after the peace settlement in the war in Ukraine and democratic, judicial, economic and military reforms in the countries is the guarantee of EU membership for Ukraine, Russia and Belarus before 2045 (example my vision EU 2045), when we remember and celebrate 100 years after the end of the horrific World War 2 in Europe and the start of the EUropean Dream of a future common and undivided Europa…now brutally disrupted.

Also NATO will be dismantled. The EU will get its own security organisation and structure (example my EDU vision). In addition to the UN, other regional security structures may arise between countries and power blocs in the world.

FM_9hfcWQAITBF9


The loss of Oblast Crimea will have to be accepted as a consequence of the confusing nationalistic coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the wider anti-Russia and anti-EU policy of that time.

Map_of_the_Crimea

But this and the lifting of severe sanctions against Russia only when the other part of Eastern Ukraine occupied by Russia and by her supported rebels completely returns under Ukraine authority. The Oblasts Luhansk and Donetsk and part of Kharkiv (in west bordered by parts of the Seversky Donets and Oskil river) and parts of Zaporizhia and Kherson (bordered by the Dnipro River) will also fall to Russia. Clear borders that can be monitored and enforced are necessary for the time being after ending the war. So some cities along the Oskil and Dnipro rivers will be divided as a result. These will become cities of peace and may merge again in the future after border corrections when the relations get better after further integration within the EU. UN observers and possibly also UN troops will be stationed along the new borders for a period of time.

Peace Plan

Not the best solution seeing the situation before 2014 and the old peace plan. But after the by the US, UK and sympathisers in NATO and EU deliberately provoked conflict with Russia over it’s strategic red line in Ukraine into an ugly and disastrous proxy war, handing these Ukraine territory back again to Ukraine will unfortunately for sure no longer be an acceptable option for Russia in any peace talks or proposals. Continuing this war to conquer and annex even more Ukraine territory (see map from that article) as is probably its end-goal now, will then be preferred by now deeply embittered Russia.

Naamloos2

So in order to prevent that end-state (in my opinion already accepted by the US and UK and close sympathisers before the provocation) and to end this ugly disastrous proxy war as soon as possible, sadly Ukraine will have to make territorial concessions. In my opinion any suggestion at this stage of this larger conflict of a full return of by Russia occupied and annexed Ukrainian territory to Ukraine is or malicious or totally naive.


Russia must give up it’s direct and also military support…and ending stationing of it’s troops there…to Transnistria. Which in a larger deal with Moldavia and Romania will then become part of Ukraine.

Transnistria_in_Europe_(zoomed).svg


There will no longer be any attempt to identify and punish a primary perpetrator of this grim conflict. In view of the complexity of the conflict and the aim of turning this situation around as soon as possible towards a positive and peaceful development for the countries and their peoples involved towards European unity within a larger EU. In line with the European dream as learnt from the painfully acquired lessons after the devastating and horrific Second World War.
(Peace and reconciliation are more important than justice at this time. Unfortunately, international law has been used so arbitrarily and selectively in recent decades to prosecute and try people that the focus on it now works against rather than helping end conflicts and get peace. Unfortunately for the victims who are also rightly demanding justice. First the system will have to become more structurally balanced.)

Saint-Lo-989x1024


Russia pays compensation to Ukraine for the annexation of the named oblasts and the lose of Ukraine military and civilian assets because of that. This may be in the form of supply of raw materials and other products for a period of time.


Russia will also have to give openness and cooperation to the investigation of the MH17 disaster and it’s legal consequences (paying compensation) and the missile fired on Gori in Georgia in 2008 that killed and wounded several civilians including a Dutch cameraman.

298-mensen-kwamen-om-bij-de-vliegramp-onder-wie-vijftig-Brabanders


Without these steps, ample and far-reaching harsh EU and international sanctions against Russia remain in place. There will be still no normalisation of the diplomatic and economic relationship between the EU ,NATO and Russia and both NATO and the EU will continue the process towards NATO and EU membership of only Ukraine.

021121_sanctions



Categories
Defensievisie EU Europese Unie Security policy EUrope

Strategic Vision EUropean Defence Union – EDU

Update 21-05-2022
– In 2045, NATO will no longer exist. Even though it now thinks to be alive again because of the conflict in Ukraine after the French president Macron recently called NATO brain death…now the EU seems to become brain death after taking a wrong turn. But this is an apparent phase…just like the earlier claimed NATO successes of its missions in Kosovo and Afghanistan and Iraq and Libya and Syria…and so now Ukraine. The organisation took the wrong turn by collaborating with US and UK and their sympathisers in their egocentric nationalistic project against Russia…and the EU(!!). And will, unlike the EU, not be able to come back and recover from that.


(In het Nederlands – Strategische visie EUropese Defensie Unie – EDU)



In my opinion, the future of the EU’s security and defence policy lays within a newly established European Defence Union (EDU) as a part of the EU and to be modelled on the (classical) NATO structure. It should have a deliberate and primary focus on the collective defence of the EU treaty area. Within a non-provocative and defensive structure and doctrine.

An element of this EDU could be the stationing of multi-national military units along the borders of the EU. (As NATO now has her forward deployed elements, then EDU elements).  Such units can be stationed there permanently or circulate and train + exercise with the host countries. The EU maritime borders can be patrolled by EDU naval forces.

20131217_131217a-eu-nato

To me, this seems to be the best way forward given the growing differences in the strategic interests of the EU on the one side and the largest NATO member-state the USA on the other. This evokes more and more friction within the existing NATO structures. The EU and USA are economic competitors with security interests of their own. Samsung for instance would not guard the buildings of Apple either, would they?

Suffice to say that the transatlantic relationship with the USA and Canada is and remains very important. So in my perspective these relations remain within a reformed NATO structure with or without an article-5 construction.

2013-10-24-natoeucombinedpic

A NATO structure In which the EU on one side and the US and Canada (and possibly other countries, Australia?) on the other can talk about security issues and can collaborate on security and military operations. This can be done collectively or in a “Coalition of the Willing”, under the NATO flag or within an UN mandate and operation.

NATO_2045

The EDU will in my view not focus on out-of-area operations. EDU countries can therefore use existing UN and new NATO structures or proceed to a Coalition of the Willing within for example the European Intervention Initiative (EI2). This gives room for the differences in security interests, thinking and policy between EDU members. Guarding and securing EU strategic locations and interests in the world can again be an EDU task.

rus-eu

After a peace deal in the Ukraine war and democratic, economic and military reforms implemented, Ukrainian, Russian and Belarus EU/EDU membership will become an important goal in de direction of 2045, 100 years after the end of the Second World War. Russia, Ukraine and Belarus will before that also become members of a reformed NATO.

flzvj01xoaalq9j

I think and am convinced that this new EDU and reformed NATO vision and structure can deal better with the mentioned fields of tension than the existing structures in Europe today. With first of all the focus on the EU’s own strategic interests. In Europe and elsewhere in the world.


EDU part of EU vision 2045 >> Vision European Union 2045



Categories
ColdWar Conflicts Conflicts Europe Defence vision EU European Union Foreign policy NATO Propaganda & Disinformation Security policy EUrope US foreign policy World

Russia – Putin’s Red line…

For years Putin indicates that there is a red line for him/Russia in the Ukraine. Why? I think the primary reason is NATO … not even the EU. Because with the EU Putin had and has great cooperation plans.*
See Vision Putin : Russia EU free trade zone
And more on this America versus Russia – Putin’s vision is a threat to US strategic interests

But what, in my opinion, is the problem. The EU does not have its own security and defence structure. For that kind of business you end up at NATO … and so at the leader of this alliance, the U.S. And then it immediately becomes a completely different story for Putin and Russia. Because with the U.S. Russia has been “fighting” a new cold war since 1998 (accelerating in 2001 with start of GW Bush government) about power and influence in Europe and the world. The U.S. is emphatically heading for a new containment policy towards Russia and there is no question of truly equivalent cooperation. Russia also fears the offensive military capabilities of the U.S. and willingness to use them (Afghanistan 2001, Iraq 2003).

And a picture … with circle and arrows from me … makes it clear why NATO in the Ukraine/Crimea for Putin/Russia is unacceptable … and thus a red line. The narrow land corridor that connects Russia with the Near/Middle East would be “threatened”. Also makes clear why Georgia in the American sphere of influence plus attack-war for Putin was and is also a red line. And why the previous U.S. government (Bush jr.) did so much effort to “close off” that corridor as part of a tightly deployed containment policy in the framework of the Bush doctrine. I think the Cold War in Washington has never really stopped.

DlmwpHVXsAAWGRD

*Additions since 2014:
Merkel saw it in 2015 and clearly spoke about it. But saw insufficiently why Russia reacted so allergic to this expansion of the EU and democracy to the east. Underestimate the (evil) role and impact of the U.S. Bushdoctrine and powerplay in this.
Merkel offers Russia free-trade agreement

I see the Bushdoctrine talked about here not as the mainstream American foreign policy. But an more radical nationalistic phase in American foreign policies. So don’t see my hard words on that doctrine/policy/period as my general view on American foreign policy. There were good periods and policies too and I see the U.S. as friend and ally and part of a solution. However, the Democrats and Republicans share the vision of continuing to control and monitor the foreign and security policy of geopolitical and geoeconomic rival the EU through the US leadership role in NATO.

I condemn the Russian annexation of Crimea and (in my opinion) failed annexation attempt in Eastern Ukraine strongly. I think I understand why Russia did this, but strongly condemn they choose this military option in reaction on the US containment policy and coup d’etat in Ukraine. American policy which was partly supported by the EU.

(my peace plan proposal for war Ukraine)



Categories
ColdWar Conflicts Conflicts Europe Defence vision EU European Union Foreign policy Propaganda & Disinformation Security policy EUrope US foreign policy World

America versus Russia – Putin’s vision is a threat to US strategic interests

(In Nederlands)

September 2014. The picture is now becoming clearer. A week ago, the Russian Foreign Ministry tweeted a speech by Lavrov on Twitter. In which Putin’s visionary plan was again mentioned as Russia’s ideal image.*
Putin’s vision published in Der Spiegel International on 25.11.2010 ‘From Lisbon to Vladivostok’ Putin Envisions a Russia-EU Free Trade Zone and reported in the other main international media.
And see also in the Wikipedia “from_Lisbon_to_Vladivostok”

Eur_lisbon_vladivostok

It lacks a prominent role for the US and Russia focuses explicitly on the European continent. At the same time, the US is trying to get a treaty, Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), to get off the ground with the EU (Wikipedia TTIP). Also within a transatlantic visionary vision. Is seriously embarrassed by the revelations of Snowden (who probably did not happen to be accommodated in Russia by accident). Delay and removal between EU and US.

6682e70d54d74893381a6e2530b53609_XL

It becomes clear to me why the US and its pro-Atlantic allies within the EU were so proactive about the internal tensions in the Ukraine, deliberately crossed the red line of Russia, because Putin’s European vision of the future has “died”, and the relationship between the EU and the US is now a whole lot better and NATO survives in its current form. And with that the dominant influence of America on the security and defence policy of its power and especially economic competitor the EU. What European pro-Atlanticists and EU critics also applaud.

EIsCxbGWoAEbIUd

Russia and the US are apparently engaged in a fierce strategic battle over the influence on Europe and for America in particular its economic competitor the EU. Where the use of violence is no longer being avoided. The US seems to be winning that battle now, but at what price? And my question is as to whether the current outcome and this battle is in the strategic interest of the EU itself … of us Europeans. For some time I think the answer is no.

201507221736_IHX8mc9AzMeiiK


Addition 2015:
*Merkel saw the vision in 2015 and clearly spoke about it. But saw insufficiently why Russia reacted so allergic to this expansion of the EU, NATO and democracy to the east. Underestimate the (malicious) role and impact of the US and UK and their policies in this..I think.. since 1999 (Kosovo War).
Merkel offers Russia free-trade agreement

Update August 2019:
Macron: “and we believe in a Europe which stretches from Lisbon (Portugal) to Vladivostok (Russia),
And on his Twitter account.

Update March 2022:
It seems that this project of the nationalist US and buddy UK projects of the last two decades, to undermine and definitive bury this vision of Putin and Merkel and Macron a.o. …in fact the European dream from the often painfully learned lessons of our European history…has succeeded in the end, after Merkel left office, the conflict around Ukraine was deliberately stoked up crossing the high strategic Russia’s red line and has now dramatically escalated. And in that process the EU leaders…itself also the very target of this undermining project…gullible and loyal, foolhardy and not having learned anything, have just taken the wrong turn

Update May 2022:
For eight years only?! ya right..🤥🙃🤡
“United States, Canada, Britain…other allies”…
Although, as far as I know, Canada was less actively and ideologically involved in the larger US-UK project and policy against Russia..and the EU. Then more so Australia..
“To get the Ukrainians ready for this kind of war…”
Yes because the US knew this was going to happen one day. Not because the Russians were intended to do so. Putin’s Russia clearly wanted to prevent it. Although they said they would intervene if their red line in Ukraine would be crossed. And that was exactly what the US and UK and sympathisers did in the direction of 24 April. They provoked it to this point..all peace attempts were torpedoed…deliberately so. And there were reasons to do so now

Source

The reality and real developments of the past decades are being ‘leaked’ more and more now. Most of it from loose talk and grandstanding from victory voting. Like John Kirby here…who is also known for that. Though most will miss it here in EU and gullibly think it’s all genuine and sincere what US and UK and their supporters do towards Ukraine and against ‘that evil Putin’s Russia’…
Just like in Afghanistan 2001-2021 and Iraq 2003>…
Incredible…🤷‍♂️🤦‍♂️

Update June 2022
This also the reason why the phone of German Chancellor Merkel and French President Hollande as well as European Commission and German former foreign minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier and many others ministers were tapped by the Americans?! With help from pro-Atlantic countries like Denmark and even Germany’s own secret service. Help from secret services, often with a high degree of wilfulness, initiative and collaboration, which we see more often in this dossier. And thereby embarrassing their own government, after which it deal with similar misconduct by allies without much fuss.


And the these days so needed disclaimer