And in 2045 NATO as we know it today will no longer exist!! Even though it now thinks to be alive again because of the conflict in Ukraine after the French president Macron recently called NATO brain death…now the EU seems to become brain death after taking a wrong turn. But this is just an apparent phase…just like the earlier claimed NATO ‘successes’ of its missions in Kosovo and Afghanistan and Iraq and Libya and Syria…and so now Ukraine. The organisation took the wrong turn by collaborating with US and UK and their sympathisers in their egocentric nationalistic project against Russia…and against the EU(!!). And will, unlike the EU, not be able to come back and recover from that. So the EU gets its own EUropean Defence Union – EDU to collectively protect the territories of its member states and their strategic interest in the world.
It will be a hard fight towards 2045. But we as Europeans will win…again…against this bad nationalism!!! The European Dream is not killed today…after we learned these painful lessons in our history… Nor is the European Union – the EU!!!
Are they just gullible or downright malicious then!🤷♂️🤦
Or will Macron have a higher purpose in doing so after all?🤔
Together with Merkel, he was one of the few people in the EU who did show knowledge and understanding of these historical lessons and who did want a more inclusive European solution to the conflict with Russia.
It remains very difficult for me to stay calm and reasonable when I see too many fellow EUropeans collaborating with… …out of witless naivety or gullible loyalty (the ‘believers’), lack of expertise but too many also out of apparent egocentric self-interest or self-conscious malice… countries with which we in this… …since the ‘official’ end of the Cold War and strengthened after the disastrous and destructive invasions of Afghanistan and especially Iraq… changing world… …with fierce geopolitical-economic as well as climatic storms to endure and overcome… need a more equal friendship or a… unfortunately… …I as a polemologist am never in favour of it but sometimes it is unfortunately necessary (for a period)… a hopefully cold enmity…
China has no reason to do anything now. Russia is not asking for, nor does it need, help yet. Nor is there any question of an alliance in this. It also strengthens China’s own negotiating position against Russia if it soon has to look for other customers for its gas and oil that it cannot sell in other parts of Europe.
Xi and regime now watch calmly. The China-fearing Putin’s EU-Russia vision… which Merkel supported, but the ‘block on Biden’s leg’ wasn’t half away or this Pax Europaea vision was torpedoed by the US, UK, NATO and their anti-EU sceptical supporters here in the EU. Gullible loyal EU now again obediently divided and controlled within Biden’s Pax Americana 2.0… and will further weaken and disintegrate. Will not stopped by the US, rather encourage it, just like with Brexit.
Also because of that Russian fear for neighbour China so no alliance and many Russian troops in Siberia. And thus Putin’s vision in 2010 (but repeated many times before) and visibly bitter frustration now that it has been torpedoed by the US, UK, NATO, supporters and thus supported by the loyal naive EU. Russia now even more firmly in China’s sphere of influence and thus a Siberian conflict on the horizon. Because the Chinese regime is looking for ‘lebensraum’. And if the American containment and anti-China strategy resembles that against Russia, this search will only become more intense and important…and the vast north beckons then more than ever…
While the geopolitical-economic strategic interests of Russia and the EU in this turbulent and stormy world were so clearly converging, and therefore many interests are/were shared and there was a reason to start cooperating. Also considering the effects of the growing superpower China and her revanchist regime. Not all good effects. Putin pointed out those benefits together in his vision and elsewhere, so did his ministers and more objective experts like me in this field… As also warning for China…
The French president Macron saw it too, I think, and made an attempt at an inclusive pan-European solution. But without Merkel, he was already in a weak position and decided to run for his money…because of the upcoming presidential elections, which he would like to win again and where American and British revanchism is not really helping…when Merkel’s successor Chancellor Scholz succumbed to pressure from the US and NATO and coalition member!!! Then the EU took the wrong turn!!! End thus of the EU-European dream!!! EU and Europe now ‘almost’ checkmate!!!
And Chinese regime looks on smiling and satisfied… their golden age is dawning…
I still have a tiny bit of hope for an undivided Europe by 2045! Despite many setbacks, I am an optimist and combative. But it looks very bad now and may come later…or not at all. For me, that means a failed mission for now… Unfortunately!! Many have apparently already forgotten the painfully acquired lessons from our European history or (consciously) misuse them and even more have not yet learned the more recent lessons. And those who do not want to hear, unfortunately, have to feel. There is no other way… that’s how life was then… and so is life now and tomorrow…
“NEVER AGAIN!!”I swore over 40 years ago in 1980 as a boy of 12 between the far too many headstones at the huge American military cemetery in Normandy. During our holiday in France, when I insisted on visiting the D-Day landing sites and this cemetery, my mother and father told me. Intensely crying and sobbing. It became the mission of my life, my training, my task..still..almost every day, almost every hour…far too often…far too long…but I found it necessary and did my best.
This painting hangs above my bed and reminds me every day of my mission and pledge every day. Even in the regular moments when I wanted to drop out, badly frustrated by what was happening…wanted to quit altogether…so much people made in my opinion the same mistakes again…went along with wrong projects and wars again…but still continued on.
But if I return there one day, more then 40 years later, it looks like I will have to confess that my mission has failed. Europe is once again divided, in a hard Cold War with now bloody proxy war in Ukraine. New iron curtains are strengthened and expanded. Enemy thinking, hatred and demonisation are spread through the now modern much more extensive and powerful propaganda and disinformation channels and thus reinforced. Mass forming and hysteria follows, new form of Mccarthyism is back. Because our current leaders…American and British leaders in front… harshly and egocentrically rejected an inclusive undivided Europe…
I never thought then that…after more than 40 years of fighting for “NEVER AGAIN”, for peace and security and the European dream as I learned it and feel it deeply in my system…our current leaders, including those of all those then fallen and still mostly young Americans, would so betray their sacrifice.
What a sad day it will be…
Update 21 May 2022 ‘It looks like I will have to confess that my mission has failed…’ NO IT IS NOT!!!⚔️😠 As this is not my EU and Europe!!😠 This bad nationalists and their collaborators are..again..not gonna win!! So towards an undivided EUrope🇪🇺 in 2045!!💪 #WeAreEurope #WeAreEUrope #StrongerTogether
Update:The attack on Ukraine unfortunately also took place… Putin apparently saw after the talks no hope for an inclusive European solution (that’s what Russia was asking for!!) and the need to perpetuate the Russian red lines again that he had been pointing at for so long… and explained the reasons for that. Horrible for the Ukrainian civilians and soldiers, but also Russian soldiers and civilians. And that after the great human tragedies in Afghanistan and especially Iraq and region and world!!! (the US, UK, NATO and supporters here were apparently for more reasons in a rush now!!). No lessons learned?!?! Because too many also apparently did not learn the lessons of those wrong nationalistic projects or quickly forgot them, it seems that also my over 40 years (life)mission has failed. Thank you also on behalf of so many Europeans…unfortunately a minority, also within politics and fellow experts…who did remember, correctly understood and continued to apply these painfully learned historical European lessons and therefore recent lessons… and so wanted like me an inclusive and undivided Europe!!! But too many…part loyal gullible but also bad collaborators…and most because of the huge amount of propaganda and disinformation right here with and towards us and effects of mass formation and hysteria, now think that the failure of this all and this horrific proxy war in Ukraine is the fault of only Russia and even only this devilish Putin himself!!! They should know…
So the end of the EUropean dream!!! And not NATO but the EU now brain death!!Or is it not still…?! I still hold out a tiny bit of hope…a tiny bit…
Sorry to tell you..the EUropean dream has come to an end..
The EU took a wrong turn last week. The majority decided to remains part of Pax Americana..meaning divided and controlled. That means it will get weaker and I expect also breaking up further..
Because if you do not create a solid foundation under your own building but lean on another building next to yours, your building will collapse in even a light storm, if the owner of that other building will reduce its support to your building out of self-interest (and they probably will do one day…). And by using this construction, you are already creating a strong wind at your building..
And so Europe is divided again by a new iron curtain that will increasingly take shape in the coming years. So we are back in the old days before 1989, the days of the “old” Cold War. Which actually never really stopped in certain political capitals and too many heads. For a time to which too many (former)politicians and think-tankers still look back with positive nostalgia.
So life in the EU will get tougher in the coming decades, given the increasingly tough geopolitical and geoeconomic battle for influence in the world and for a larger share of the wealth. Poorer people want their share too. Creating more wealth is becoming increasingly difficult now that the earth is exhausted and climate change requires reduction.And we have it in abundance. But protect it badly. So less prosperity and less well-being for EUropeans.. sad future.. own fault!!
Sadly recognition of Donetsk and Luhansk was a logical next step of Russia to take when an inclusive undivided European solution and vision was constantly torpedoed by US, UK, NATO and (EU) allies. Despite efforts by Germans new chancellor Scholz and especially by the French president Macron!! Besides sanctions against Russia will not help at all!! I explained in this thread on Twitter..
Sadly, the majority of the leaders of the EU took the wrong turn. They want to remain being part of Pax Americana. The moment of the “The EU now faces..” in the title of a former blog post is past now…
As an EUropean Dutch polemologist I chose for an autonomous Pax EUropaea and an undivided Europe. I defended that vision for 27 years now.. but I lost last week. Sadly Merkel left office. She kept earlier attempts (like in March 2021) of the US, UK, NATO and their supporters within the EU down and gave hope for an inclusive European future.
She left and they took their chance. Putin’s Russia then put them on the spot but they flatly refused to come to an inclusive European solution. As Putin likes(ed) it to.. also his vision from 2010. Only the French president Macron made still an real attempt into this direction but lost the battle without the direct support of Merkel and with the new German chancellor Scholz still too weak and unexperienced.
The cynical thing is that by offering that, Russia would not be appeased, but rather put in front of the bloc itself. Do you want Putin’s vision or not? If so, develop and implement a vision, towards an inclusive and undivided Europe. If not, and not for relevant reasons, we know that your intentions are probably not positive. That is also why I am completely convinced that the US, UK, NATO and their supporters in the EU absolutely did not want this. Also without Putin. Not even if Russia had been a democracy.
Russia does/(did) not want this situation at all..as it also fears neighbour China! Therefore Putin’s vision in 2010 for creating first a EU-Russia free trade zone and even joining EU!!! This proposal repeated by Merkel in 2015 as peace gesture!! But well.. too many EU politicians, journalists and colleagues prefer to believe our power and economic competi… uuhh… allies who were and are vehemently against this vision!!
In authoritarian one-party state China, Xi Jinping and the regime look on with satisfaction. The EU again divided and controlled by the US.. weakened.. will further weaken and disintegrate!! And Russia, fearing for China and resisting, is being pressed more firmly into their sphere of influence and will soon have lost Siberia.. as the Chinese regime is looking for much more lebensraum…
So end of the story of the EUropean dream.. So end of a strong(er) more autonomous EU.. So end of the EU..?! Future will tell.. but I am not hopeful..
Former US president Trump had warned us in a way.. in all his bluntness but irreverent openness sometimes. Told what he thought of the EU. And the Republicans and Democrats think the same about the EU!! But our EU politicians and experts were far too busy with their obsession with Putin and their underestimation of the corona pandemic..
More recently, we as EU received another clear warning about this anti-EU power politics from the US and it’s close allies..AUKUS!! But people here liked to mock president Macron and France more than to see the real implications for the EU itself. I already saw the problem..
And I have been proved right in recent weeks!! Unfortunately…
Talking about this kind of deception, propaganda and disinformation of these two allies, the US and UK… in 2003!! With very deadly destructive impact in Iraq, region, EU and world.. Hundreds of thousands death and wounded, many killed and wounded soldiers of our own, major refugees and migration flows, IS, terror, failed democratic rise, failed states, North Korea and Iran’s nuclear weapons problem, loss of own credibility, etc.).. And still..many seem already to have forgotten. Just as they have apparently forgotten other lessons from our European past!!
So who was really firing up the conflict with Russia around Ukraine?! I know.. I warned.. but the propaganda and disinformation was to great and extensive. So unfortunately most still think differently.. see Putin’s Russia as the main guilty one.. even too many of my colleagues.
So, sadly too, many still think that nothing has changed. The EU can go on as before. Can get more autonomous. Enlarge. They are wrong!! And they are going to feel it.. painfully.. as the wrong turn has been taken. The EU project is over. It will be something of the past soon. So get used to it. It’s going to be a tough ride…
And our EU politicians also thank you on behalf of our, Russian, Ukrainian and Belarusian children by the way ..who.. just like Putin turns out, if you had believed and trusted him and not his (and our) opponents.. also saw their future within an inclusive undivided EUropa!!
Update 21-05-2022 – In 2045, NATO will no longer exist. Even though it now thinks to be alive again because of the conflict in Ukraine after the French president Macron recently called NATO brain death…now the EU seems to become brain death after taking a wrong turn. But this is an apparent phase…just like the earlier claimed NATO successes of its missions in Kosovo and Afghanistan and Iraq and Libya and Syria…and so now Ukraine. The organisation took the wrong turn by collaborating with US and UK and their sympathisers in their egocentric nationalistic project against Russia…and the EU(!!). And will, unlike the EU, not be able to come back and recover from that.
I was born during the Cold War, in June 1968. When studying Political science with specialisation in Polemology/War studies it ended. Not good for my future employment, not good at all I discovered later (because world peace had broken out they said) but still I was very happy as I love peace!!
The end of the Cold War meant the end of the Iron Curtain, end of Berlin Wall, end of divided Germany, end of communist authoritarian state USSR, end of a divided Europe!!
But the Cold War was deliberately fired up again in the late 90’s and especially from 2001. By American nationalists in the White House and their pro-Atlantic European allies, especially the EU skeptic UK. In their erroneous nationalistic Bush doctrine focus not alone on Afghanistan and Iraq.
Probably motivated by and against the growing relationship between Russia and EU in the years before, that in their view undermined NATO. So their own influence and strong positions in and via this organisation on the EU and Europe.
Especially towards the EU, ally, but also more and more a geopolitical and geoeconomic competitor of the USA, and now after Brexit the UK. Maybe logical from their strategic interests but very egocentric and not from the interest or good for the EU or even Europe as a whole!!
New iron curtains built in Europe, new tensions, new cold war, large military movements and new cold war language, disinformation and propaganda!!
Tragic that also the EU seems to have forgotten the primary lesson of the First World War!! A defeated country (then Germany now USSR>Russia after Cold War) that feels unjustly treated and excluded is more revanchist and thus more dangerous for peace and stability than one you embrace and integrate again (Germany after the Second World War)!!
So I want an undivided European future!! Not a new divided Europe and new Cold War!!
As NATO of today is our past and EDU and a reformed NATO our future!!
With first a solution and peace plan for the cruel war in Eastern Ukraine. That must end before any other step will be taken!!
And justice for the MH17 tragedy and its victims!!
Without that no deal and no end to the economic sanctions for Russia!!
Within this new strategic peace and security structure and vision for Europe and a renewed friendship between the EU and Russia this can culminate in Russia, Ukraine and Belarus.. after reforms and as constitutional free democracies(!!).. joining the EU before 2045, when we commemorate and celebrate the end of the horrific Second World War 100 years ago in Europe. Putin will retire from politics in that process. I think he wants that for a long time already. But he can still secure and anchor the treaties and start the changing process as a sign of goodwill and trust in both ways.
And to show and proof that this was always his own desired European vision too. As by offering this inclusive EUropean vision, Russia would not be appeased, but rather put in front of the bloc itself. Do you want Putin’s vision or not? If so, develop and implement a vision, towards an inclusive and undivided Europe. If not, and not for relevant reasons, we know that your intentions are probably not positive.
As also the younger Russian generations feel being part of Europe and want to become part of the EU. As Daria Navalnaya said when she receives the Sakharov Prize, the European Union’s top human rights prize, on behalf of her father. “…Russia is a part of Europe, and we strive to become a part of it. But we also want Europe to strive for itself, to those amazing ideas, which are at its core. We strive for a Europe of ideas, the celebration of human rights, democracy and integrity.” https://euronews.com/my-europe/2021/12/15/navalny-s-daughter-accepts-eu-s-highest-human-rights-award-on-his-behalf
Developments which hopefully the governments of America and UK will support this time and will join. I think in the end also better for them!!
So we can counter and deter the real main threat to our Western and European security, welfare, wellbeing and stability today and tomorrow, revanchist totalitarian communist/Maoist one-party regime and state China!! Which is also a major threat to Russia!!! That is why Russia is so keen on joining the West and the EU!!!
As I find it bizarre that where we have conducted 46 years of Cold War against that other totalitarian communist/Stalinist 1-party dictatorship of former times..the USSR..deliberately(!!) restarted in the 1990’s against a militarily and economically much weaker and still not totalitarian Russia…
..the EUropean and western governments want to stay economic partners and friends with a dictatorial China?! Even after the corona crisis and cultural genocide against the Uyghur minority?! Really that is in my opinion as a child and adult of the Cold War totally bizarre!!
SO IT IS TIME FOR CHANGE!!
TOWARDS AN UNDIVIDED EUROPE AND A REFORMED NATO IN 2045!!
Because in this time of war mongering and mass formation/hysteria and where Mccarthyism seems to have returned and anyone who, like me, has a more balanced view of developments is called a fearsome Putinversteher, or worse, traitor, thisdisclaimer is unfortunately necessary…