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ColdWar Conflicts Europe Core values Defence vision EU European Union Foreign policy Mission NATO Propaganda & Disinformation Security policy EUrope UN US foreign policy War World

It looks like I will have to confess that my mission has failed..

(In het Nederlands)

In these days of…again…”Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists.” the so needed Disclaimer


Firstly, for consideration…”So You really think that if…

“NEVER AGAIN!!” I swore over 40 years ago in 1980 as a boy of 12 between the far too many headstones at the huge American military cemetery in Normandy. During our holiday in France, when I insisted on visiting the D-Day landing sites and this cemetery, my mother and father told me. Intensely crying and sobbing. It became the mission of my life, my training, my task..still..almost every day, almost every hour…far too often…far too long…but I found it necessary and did my best.

This painting hangs above my bed and reminds me every day of my mission and pledge every day. Even in the regular moments when I wanted to drop out, badly frustrated by what was happening…wanted to quit altogether…so much people made in my opinion the same mistakes again…went along with wrong projects and wars again…but still continued on.

But if I return there one day, more then 40 years later, it looks like I will have to confess that my mission has failed. Europe is once again divided, in a hard Cold War with now bloody proxy war in Ukraine. New iron curtains are strengthened and expanded. Enemy thinking, hatred and demonisation are spread through the now modern much more extensive and powerful propaganda and disinformation channels and thus reinforced. Mass forming and hysteria follows, new form of Mccarthyism is back. Because our current leaders…American and British leaders in front… harshly and egocentrically rejected an inclusive undivided Europe

So right after the flattening of the terrible and stressful years of our collective global corona pandemic and crisis they took their change…apparently nothing learned from that yet either.

I never thought then that…after more than 40 years of fighting for “NEVER AGAIN”, for peace and security and the European dream as I learned it and feel it deeply in my system…our current leaders, including those of all those then fallen and still mostly young Americans, would so betray their sacrifice.

What a sad day it will be…



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1st and 2nd World War ColdWar Conflicts Conflicts Europe Core values Defence vision EU European Union Foreign policy Mission Nationalism NATO Propaganda & Disinformation Radicalisation Second World War Security policy EUrope US foreign policy Visions War on Terror World

The EU took the wrong turn..

(In het Nederlands)

Update: The attack on Ukraine unfortunately also took place… Putin apparently saw after the talks no hope for an inclusive European solution (that’s what Russia was asking for!!) and the need to perpetuate the Russian red lines again that he had been pointing at for so long… and explained the reasons for that. Horrible for the Ukrainian civilians and soldiers, but also Russian soldiers and civilians. And that after the great human tragedies in Afghanistan and especially Iraq and region and world!!! (the US, UK, NATO and supporters here were apparently for more reasons in a rush now!!).
No lessons learned?!?! Because too many also apparently did not learn the lessons of those wrong nationalistic projects or quickly forgot them, it seems that also my over 40 years (life)mission has failed. Thank you also on behalf of so many Europeans…unfortunately a minority, also within politics and fellow experts…who did remember, correctly understood and continued to apply these painfully learned historical European lessons and therefore recent lessons… and so wanted like me an inclusive and undivided Europe!!! But too many…part loyal gullible but also bad collaborators
and most because of the huge amount of propaganda and disinformation right here with and towards us and effects of mass formation and hysteria, now think that the failure of this all and this horrific proxy war in Ukraine is the fault of only Russia and even only this devilish Putin himself!!! They should know

So the end of the EUropean dream!!! And not NATO but the EU now brain death!! Or is it not still…?! I still hold out a tiny bit of hope…a tiny bit…


Sorry to tell you..the EUropean dream has come to an end..

The EU took a wrong turn last week. The majority decided to remains part of Pax Americana..meaning divided and controlled. That means it will get weaker and I expect also breaking up further..

Because if you do not create a solid foundation under your own building but lean on another building next to yours, your building will collapse in even a light storm, if the owner of that other building will reduce its support to your building out of self-interest (and they probably will do one day…). And by using this construction, you are already creating a strong wind at your building..

And so Europe is divided again by a new iron curtain that will increasingly take shape in the coming years. So we are back in the old days before 1989, the days of the “old” Cold War. Which actually never really stopped in certain political capitals and too many heads. For a time to which too many (former)politicians and think-tankers still look back with positive nostalgia.

So life in the EU will get tougher in the coming decades, given the increasingly tough geopolitical and geoeconomic battle for influence in the world and for a larger share of the wealth. Poorer people want their share too. Creating more wealth is becoming increasingly difficult now that the earth is exhausted and climate change requires reduction.And we have it in abundance. But protect it badly. So less prosperity and less well-being for EUropeans.. sad future.. own fault!!

Sadly recognition of Donetsk and Luhansk was a logical next step of Russia to take when an inclusive undivided European solution and vision was constantly torpedoed by US, UK, NATO and (EU) allies. Despite efforts by Germans new chancellor Scholz and especially by the French president Macron!! Besides sanctions against Russia will not help at all!! I explained in this thread on Twitter..

So it was the EU, the real centre and goal of this conflict, who faced a fundamental choice!! Remain part of Pax Americana, divided and controlled in a divided Europe, as USA, UK and supporters want?! Or an autonomous Pax EUropaea, of which Ukraine, Belarus and Russia also become part?!

Sadly, the majority of the leaders of the EU took the wrong turn. They want to remain being part of Pax Americana. The moment of the “The EU now faces..” in the title of a former blog post is past now…

As an EUropean Dutch polemologist I chose for an autonomous Pax EUropaea and an undivided Europe. I defended that vision for 27 years now.. but I lost last week. Sadly Merkel left office. She kept earlier attempts (like in March 2021) of the US, UK, NATO and their supporters within the EU down and gave hope for an inclusive European future.

She left and they took their chance. Putin’s Russia then put them on the spot but they flatly refused to come to an inclusive European solution. As Putin likes(ed) it to.. also his vision from 2010. Only the French president Macron made still an real attempt into this direction but lost the battle without the direct support of Merkel and with the new German chancellor Scholz still too weak and unexperienced.

The cynical thing is that by offering that, Russia would not be appeased, but rather put in front of the bloc itself. Do you want Putin’s vision or not? If so, develop and implement a vision, towards an inclusive and undivided Europe. If not, and not for relevant reasons, we know that your intentions are probably not positive. That is also why I am completely convinced that the US, UK, NATO and their supporters in the EU absolutely did not want this. Also without Putin. Not even if Russia had been a democracy.

Russia does/(did) not want this situation at all..as it also fears neighbour China! Therefore Putin’s vision in 2010 for creating first a EU-Russia free trade zone and even joining EU!!! This proposal repeated by Merkel in 2015 as peace gesture!! But well.. too many EU politicians, journalists and colleagues prefer to believe our power and economic competi… uuhh… allies who were and are vehemently against this vision!!

In authoritarian one-party state China, Xi Jinping and the regime look on with satisfaction. The EU again divided and controlled by the US.. weakened.. will further weaken and disintegrate!! And Russia, fearing for China and resisting, is being pressed more firmly into their sphere of influence and will soon have lost Siberia.. as the Chinese regime is looking for much more lebensraum…

So end of the story of the EUropean dream..
So end of a strong(er) more autonomous EU..
So end of the EU..?!
Future will tell.. but I am not hopeful..


Former US president Trump had warned us in a way.. in all his bluntness but irreverent openness sometimes. Told what he thought of the EU. And the Republicans and Democrats think the same about the EU!! But our EU politicians and experts were far too busy with their obsession with Putin and their underestimation of the corona pandemic..

More recently, we as EU received another clear warning about this anti-EU power politics from the US and it’s close allies..AUKUS!! But people here liked to mock president Macron and France more than to see the real implications for the EU itself. I already saw the problem..

And I have been proved right in recent weeks!! Unfortunately…

Talking about this kind of deception, propaganda and disinformation of these two allies, the US and UK… in 2003!! With very deadly destructive impact in Iraq, region, EU and world..
Hundreds of thousands death and wounded, many killed and wounded soldiers of our own, major refugees and migration flows, IS, terror, failed democratic rise, failed states, North Korea and Iran’s nuclear weapons problem, loss of own credibility, etc.)..
And still..many seem already to have forgotten. Just as they have apparently forgotten other lessons from our European past!!

So who was really firing up the conflict with Russia around Ukraine?!
I know.. I warned.. but the propaganda and disinformation was to great and extensive. So unfortunately most still think differently.. see Putin’s Russia as the main guilty one.. even too many of my colleagues.

So, sadly too, many still think that nothing has changed. The EU can go on as before. Can get more autonomous. Enlarge. They are wrong!! And they are going to feel it.. painfully.. as the wrong turn has been taken. The EU project is over. It will be something of the past soon. So get used to it. It’s going to be a tough ride…


And our EU politicians also thank you on behalf of our, Russian, Ukrainian and Belarusian children by the way ..who.. just like Putin turns out, if you had believed and trusted him and not his (and our) opponents.. also saw their future within an inclusive undivided EUropa!!

No no not so…na-na-na-na-na!!!!



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Defence vision EU Defensievisie EU European Union Mission UN World

General assumptions Strategic Vision EDU Armed Forces 2045


I use a number of general assumptions in my Vision EDU Forces 2045. Worked out in this page!


download last update: 15-11-2022 19:00
– Squad 10>8. IFV 2+10 > 4+8 and changed design ‘my ideal future tank&IFV’.
Including anti-drone interceptors air-defence units/system.
– IFV 2+10 > 4+8 and changed design ‘my ideal future tank&IFV’.
– Included EUropean programmes for combat and (heavy) transport helicopters.
– CT 30 mm LR on the (Sea/Land) Protector RWS/APPS will become 40 mm CL AGL (fixed combi system replacing the now commonly used 12.7 mm heavy machine guns in addition to the now influxing active protection system/APSs and smoke canister protection launchers. Looks a bit like this Arquus Hornet RWS).
– Change in recce vehicles types in my brigade set up in Land Forces.
– Correction squad set-up. Still 10 members but crew for vehicles separated from squad again. So 4 members crew in battle tanks, 2 members crew in IFV&APC. All working in attack helicopter like set-up, doubled in the battle tanks.
– Changes size of naval units and air squadrons with extra reserve.
– In 2045, NATO will no longer exist. Even though it now thinks to be alive again because of the conflict in Ukraine after the French president Macron recently called NATO brain death…now the EU seems to become brain death after taking a wrong turn. But this is an apparent phase…just like the earlier claimed NATO successes of its missions in Kosovo and Afghanistan and Iraq and Libya and Syria…and so now Ukraine. The organisation took the wrong turn by collaborating with US and UK and their sympathisers in their egocentric nationalistic project against Russia…and the EU(!!). And will, unlike the EU, not be able to come back and recover from that.
– rotation scheme naval vessels and crews.
– Changes in numbers of naval forces.
– Exit 2043, now snapshot 2045, 100 years after end of WO2. More symbolic for Europe as a whole.

– MCMV’s naval forces split into larger ocean and smaller coastal/inland waterways variant. 
– KMW APVT IFV for Marines out, replaced by standard IFV with adaptations. 
– Including Russia, Belarus, Georgia and Armenia.
– Changes numbers fighters EDU air forces.
– Squadron size helicopters and UCAV.
– 3>4 platoons every company. More vehicles.



Index –



In General


GENERAL MAIN TASKS
The grounds for deployment of the armed forces are listed in Article XX of the Constitution. In connection with this, three main tasks of the armed forces can be distinguished, namely:

  • Protection of the integrity of the own and the allied (EU and NATO) territory;
  • Promotion of the international legal order and stability;
  • Supporting civil authorities in law enforcement, disaster relief and humanitarian assistance, both nationally and internationally.

GENERAL AMBITION LEVEL
An ambition level has been formulated based on the main tasks, the safety analysis and the available financial resources.

The Xxxxxx armed forces will contribute to the following:

  • The protection of the own and allied (EDU and NATO) territory if necessary with all available means;
  • An active contribution to the integrated foreign policy of the [NAME COUNTRY]. This includes:
    – high-quality and technologically advanced military contributions to international operations in all parts of the spectrum of violence. The focus will be more on defensive and deterrent operations. However, where necessary one can also take offensive action.
    – Contribute to an integrated, comprehensive approach in which various departments, international organizations, non-governmental organizations and (local or regional) businesses play a role. In this context, the 5D approach is used: Diplomacy, Defense and Development, Disaster Relief and Data.
    5D
  • A contribution to the ambition level of the European Union and EDU. In this context, the armed forces will continue to contribute to the collective defense and response capacities of the European Union, the EDU Battlegroups;
  • A contribution to NATO’s level of ambition. In connection with this, the armed forces will continue to make a contribution of varying size to the NATO Response Force (NRF);
  • Participation (continuous) in an operation in the higher part of the spectrum of violence with xx battalions, xx special force operation group, xx combat aircraft, xx mixed group (combat) helicopters, xx MALE RPAS UCAVs and or a maritime task force of different ships;
  • Simultaneous participation for a longer period of time in a maximum of xx operations in the lower part of the spectrum of violence with task groups of battalion size or, in air operations and maritime operations, their equivalents;
  • Acting in land operations as lead nation at brigade/Division level and, together with other countries, at army force level, in maritime operations as lead nation at task group level and in air operations with contributions at equivalent level;
  • The execution of special operations, including evacuation operations and counter-terrorism operations;
  • Provision of international emergency assistance at the request of civil authorities.
  • Participation in police missions, including those of the European Gendarmerie Unit, with officers and units and in small-scale civil-military missions;
  • Provision of (para) military experts for the education, training and advice of security organizations in other countries;
  • Contributing to the safety of society within the boundaries of the country, under civilian authority. This concerns in particular:
    – the execution of national tasks, such as border control, including the Coast Guard;
    – military assistance with the criminal enforcement of the rule of law as well as the maintenance of public order and security, such as with special assistance units and the deployment of the EOD explosives disposal;
    – (para) military assistance in the fight against disasters.

Defence budget : 2% GDP. No more, no less!

Why is 2% GDP defense budget needed?!

ESF881lXYAA6rKL

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ELECTRONIC AND CYBER WARFARE

Electronic and Cyber warfare is a serious task area for the armed forces and a large Cyber and Electronic Warfare Command operating within the central organisations and units in the separate forces.

Primarily, this is defensively oriented. All weapon systems, but also control and ICT systems and networks that are linked to it, are protected by this command. However, this command also becomes capable of carrying out electronic and cyber attacks in order to disrupt or flatten an opponent’s systems and the like. This either as a deterrent or as a way to complicate the warfare of an opponent.

There is close cooperation with allies within a common Cyber and Electronic Operations Force EDU Staff. This umbrella staff is housed in ….. This leads to a close form of cooperation in the field of operations, education, training, logistics and maintenance. However, all countries remain sovereign with regard to the political decision to deploy their electronic and cyber units and resources. The Commander EDU Cyber and Electronic Operations Force is the head of this staff.

cyberwarrior


EDU STANDARDIZATION AGREEMENT (EDU-STANAG)

Mostly copy the STANAG’s model. Some differences.
– Standard service rifle cartridge : 6x45mm (cased telescoped).
….

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or-37761Land forces


A division consists 2-3 brigades and HQ and support units. A brigade consists of 4 combined arms battalions/regiments and HQ and support units. Each combined arms battalion/regiment consists of 3 (combined) arms companies, HQ and support units. Each (combined) arms company consists of 3 arms platoons, HQ and support unit. Each arms platoon consists of 4 arms squads, HQ and support unit.

As each soldier in a infantry squad of 8 has also a specialisation (as squad leader/navigator/communications, assistent squad leader/navigator/communications, 2 as grenadier/MGL+RPG or MANPADS, 2 as engineer-EOD/rifle+UAV/UGV, 2 as medic/rifle+UAV/UGV). Special operation forces/commando’s use the same kind of setup and specialisations. Often more of each other’s specialisations are being mastered to make the squad more resilient. Like basic medical knowledge and skills or navigation and communication skills or working with UGV and UAV’s or driving armoured vehicles.

In a medium/heavy infantry fighting vehicle/IFV the crew of 4 (2×2 driving&fighting teams) and infantry squad of 8 form a collective team operating and fighting together. An Air Mobile Ranger or Marines Raider squad of 8 can operate from helicopter, transport plane, LCP/USV or landing craft on foot or with their own vehicle (say an EagleV 6×6 APC) in a 3+8 combination when using them for higher mobility on land. Using smaller vehicles the squad is split in two.

This crew vs infantry squad 1:2 ratio in IFV’s seems more unfavourable than current ones. Already lot of disccusion about this topic. But the threat picture for both vehicle+crew and squad has in my opinion increased to such an extent with the arrival of drones and small light missiles, that the vehicles need to be better allround protected (also anti-air), besides still supporting the infantry group (which an sich is a little bigger than many of the current ones..now usually 6 or 7) as well. That requires expansion crew. In addition, with an ageing population and tight labour market, we will have to recognise that fewer people are suited to the physically and mentally tough profession of infantry soldier. But do can function as part of a vehicle crew with growing number of digital sensor and fighting systems.


Mechanized, Airmobile, Marine and Mountain Brigades

Each brigades consists of a :
– HQ/support battalion with
– 3 combined HQ platoons;
– Electronic and cyber warfare company;
– 2 Reconnaissance squadrons/companies.
– 4 combined arms battalions/regiments (details see below);
– Engineer battalion;
– Logistics battalion;
– Maintenance battalion;
– Medical battalion.
– Initial Military Formation Centre (provides the practical training for the brigade’s recruits);
And the Airmobile, Marine and Mountain Brigades also a :
– Helicopter Aviation Regiment (details see Air Forces below).


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The different combined arms battalions/regiments are :

Mechanized combined arms battalion/regiment

Each battalion consists of a :
– HQ/Support company with;
— 3 combined HQ platoons;
— Electronic and cyber warfare platoon;
— Medical platoon;
– Reconnaissance squadron/company;
– 3 Combat companies;
— 3 combined arms companies with 2 platoons with each 4x heavy/medium battle tanks/MBT’s (35-50t) and 2 platoons with 4x heavy/medium infantry fighting vehicles/IFV’s (30-45t);
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Self-Propelled Howitzer (SPH)
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS);
– 1 Mortar battery with 4x Self-Propelled 120mm Mortars (SPM);
– 1 Air Defence (AD) battery with 4x SHORAD SP air defence systems;
– Engineer company;
– Logistics company;
– Maintenance company.

A rough estimate of the vehicles of all support units of the mechanized combined arms battalion, the brigade and the division multiplied from every available combat battalion :
= +/- 36 heavy/medium battle tanks (24 in units + 12 education/reserve)(like MGCS, NGCS, Leopard2, Leclerc,..);
= +/- 36 heavy/medium IFV’s (24 in units + 12 education/reserve)(like Puma, Warrior, VBCI, IFV versions MGCS and NGCS ..);
= +/- 18 armoured variants on tank chassis (heavy/medium);
= +/- 48 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (medium)(16 in units + 8 education/reserve)(like Ajax recce, EBRC Jaguar, Centauro II,..);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 155mm Howitzer (SPH)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 120mm Mortar (SPM)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 SHORAD SP air defence systems (4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 96 armoured vehicles support variants (heavy like Boxer or Griffon, Piranha, Pandur, Freccia ..)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 48 armoured vehicles support variants (medium like EagleV 6×6 or Serval, LMV 6×6, ..)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 48 armoured vehicles support variants (light like EagleV 4×4 or VBAE, LMV, VAMTAC, ..)(part UGV/OPV);
= and +/- same total number in heavy and medium trucks, light utility vehicles, motorbikes and trailers.


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Marine combined arms battalion/regiment

Each battalion consists of a :
– HQ/Support company with;
— 3 combined HQ platoons;
— Electronic and cyber warfare platoon;
— Medical platoon;
– 2 Reconnaissance squadron/company;
– 3 Combat companies;
— 2 combined arms company with 2 platoons with each 4x medium/heavy battle tanks/MBT’s (35-50t) and 2 platoons with 4x medium/heavy infantry fighting vehicles/IFV’s (25-40t);
— 1 Raider company with (when not on foot or vessel/LCVP or helicopter) 4 platoons with each 4x wheeled 4×4/6×6 APCs (10-20t);
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Self-Propelled Howitzer (SPH)
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS);
– 1 Mortar battery with 4x Self-Propelled 120mm Mortars (SPM);
– 1 Air Defence (AD) battery with 4x SHORAD SP air defence systems;
– Engineer company;
– Logistics company;
– Maintenance company.

A rough estimate of the vehicles of all support units of the marine combined arms battalion, the brigade and the division multiplied from every available combat battalion :
= +/- 24 medium/heavy battle tanks (16 in units + 8 education/reserve)(like MGCS, NGCS, Leopard2, Leclerc,..);
= +/- 24 medium/heavy IFV’s (16 in units + 8 education/reserve)(like Puma, Warrior, VBCI, IFV versions MGCS and NGCS ..);
= +/- 24 light wheeled APC’s (16 in units + 8 education/reserve)(like EagleV 6×6, Serval, …);
= +/- 12 armoured variants on tank chassis (medium/heavy);
= +/- 18 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (medium)(12 in units + 6 education/reserve)(like Ajax recce, EBRC Jaguar, Centauro II,..);
= +/- 30 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (light)(20 in units + 10 education/reserve)(like Wiesel 3);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 155mm Howitzer (SPH)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 120mm Mortar (SPM)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 SHORAD SP air defence systems (4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 24 armoured support variants (heavy like Boxer or Griffin, Piranha, Pandur, Freccia..)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 72 armoured support variants (medium like BVS10 successor)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 72 armoured vehicles (light like EagleV 4×4 or VBAE, LMV, VAMTAC, …)(part UGV/OPV);
= and +/- same total number in medium and light trucks, light utility vehicles, motorbikes and trailers.


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Airborne and mountain combined arms battalion/regiment

Each battalion consists of a :
– HQ/Support company with;
— 3 combined HQ platoons;
— Electronic and cyber warfare platoon;
— Medical platoon;
– Reconnaissance squadron/company;
– 3 Combat companies;
— 1 combined arms company with 2 platoons with each 4x medium/heavy battle tanks/MBT’s (35-50t) and 2 platoons with 4x medium/heavy infantry fighting vehicles/IFV’s (25-40t);
— 2 (Airborne or Mountain) Ranger companies with each (when not on foot or transport plane or helicopter) 4 platoons with each 4x wheeled 4×4/6×6 APCs (10-20t);
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Self-Propelled Howitzer (SPH)
– 1 artillery battery with 4x Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS);
– 1 Mortar battery with 4x Self-Propelled 120mm Mortars (SPM);
– 1 Air Defence (AD) battery with 4x SHORAD SP air defence systems;
– Engineer company;
– Logistics company;
– Maintenance company.

A rough estimate of the vehicles of all support units of the airborne and mountain combined arms battalion, the brigade and the division multiplied from every available combat battalion :
= +/- 12 medium/heavy battle tanks (8 in units + 4 education/reserve)(like MGCS, NGCS, Leopard2, Leclerc,..);
= +/- 12 medium/heavy IFV’s (8 in units + 4 education/reserve)(like Puma, VBCI, IFV versions MGCS and NGCS..);
= +/- 48 light wheeled APC’s (32 in units + 16 education/reserve)(medium/light like EagleV 6×6, Serval, …);
= +/- 6 armoured variants on tank chassis (medium/heavy);
= +/- 12 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (light)(8 in units + 4 education/reserve)(like Ajax recce, EBRC Jaguar, Centauro II,..);
= +/- 36 armoured reconnaissance vehicles (light)(24 in units + 12 education/reserve)(like Wiesel 3);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled Howitzer (SPH)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 Self-Propelled 120mm Mortar (SPM)(4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 6 SHORAD SP air defence systems (4 in units + 2 education/reserve);
= +/- 24 armoured vehicles support variants (heavy like Boxer or Griffin, Piranha, Pandur, Freccia..)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 48 armoured vehicles support variants (medium like EagleV 6×6 or Serval, LMV 6×6, or BvS10 successor for mountain …)(part UGV/OPV);
= +/- 72 armoured vehicles support variants (light like EagleV 4×4 or VBAE, LMV, VAMTAC, …)(part UGV/OPV);
= and +/- same total number in medium and light trucks, light utility vehicles, motorbikes and trailers.

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N/MGCS MEDIUM-HEAVY BATTLE TANK

(Possible) New or Main Ground Combat System (N/MGCS) has a crew of 4 in a 2×2 driving&fighting team, 2 in armoured module in front chassis (driver, communicator/gunner), 2 in armoured module in turret (second driver, commander/gunner). Both modules interconnected. All able from their positions to drive the tank and work the observation and targeting systems or the UAV and UGVs. The tank has a weight of 35t in its basic configuration, air transportable by A400M+ and larger, and 50t with all the extra armour installed. The N/MGCS is designed to accommodate armour in protection classes which are wholly or partly interchangeable. The tank has its hybrid engine in the front part of the chassis and reinforced rubber tracks. The tank is armed with a 130mm gun in the one-crew turret with a autoloader and magazine (24 rounds) in the back of the turret. this magazine can be connected to an additional magazine (12 rounds) in the rear side of the chassis for reload, with the turret in the forward position. Both turret and chassis magazine can be reloaded from outside by a supply vehicle. Coaxial a CT 5.56mm MG (artist’s impressions of a more conservative design as example – Werecat Tank by Marcel Adam CG)

EZV0RNAWsAAU3WU

Also an internal 60mm mortar for support infantry and close protection. On the turret roof a Land Protector RWS/APPS with a 40mm AGL and integrated active/passive protection system/APPS. In the back of the chassis on the other side of the magazine and the entrance a snap-in clickable VLS is positioned for a mix of light ATGM&SAMs (or a combined missile?!) and light UCAVs. The space of the extra magazine and VLS in the back of the chassis can when empty also be used to transport personal in emergency or special missions. Access and exit for both crew and transported personal through a clamshell door in the middle of the back of the vehicle. The tank is equipped with passive and an active protection system (APPS) that is integrated with the RWS.

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marcel-adam-side-render-r-IFV-by StrategNL The chassis is the basis for also an medium/heavy infantry fighting vehicle IFV with an unmanned turret with CT40 mm cannon and same secondary armaments as the N/MGCS. Weight also difference in basic and up armoured modus of 30 to 45t and a crew of 4 + 8 infantry squad (see picture). And also a 155mm SP howitzer, SHORAD air defence, recovery, engineer and some other variants.

Another more futuristic (re)design (of the former Swedish UDES model) by me of a turretless future MGCS/tank with a crew of 4 again (2×2 driving&fighting team). Seeing more tasks (using and fighting drones, situational protection a.o.). Based on my own knowledge and insights on the topic. Would be my preference. Also in IFV version (2×2+8).
My future tank

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SHORAD SP AD – CANNON/SAM/LASER CIWS

Turret like AGM 155mm and SHORAD module with RAPIDFire NG (AESA radar, 2x CT40 40 mm cannons, a light SAM system VLS, anti-drone interceptors and a laser system CIWS) and secondary a RWS/APPS 40 mm AGL and clickable VLS for light SAM&ATGW. Also wheeled and naval versions. Crew of 3 supported…especially for anti-drone hunting…from its supporting units. As controlling the anti-drone interceptors can be done from another location too. Then the vehicle only launching/recovery.


MISSION TIME

Personal. Not 6 but 4 months. So 4×4 cycle of 4 months.
>>Work-up>mission>recuperation>maintenance><
And 1 on/3 off before a new mission.

Material can last longer and more cycles. Then rotating personal uses and/or maintain the same material.

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DJIBOUTI-EU-PIRACY-SECURITYNaval forces


VISION EDU 2045 NAVAL FORCES
(Example EDU Naval Forces 2045)

CV(N): +/- 72.000t – mix of max 72 fighters, helicopters, VTOL UAV’s and AEW&Tankers;
LHA: +/- 36.000t – mix of max 36 helicopters and VTOL UAV’s;
LHD: +/- 18.000t – mix of max 18 helicopters and VTOL UAV’s.


NAVAL TASK FORCES EDU

  • 6 Carrier Task Groups (2 operational at any time) of : 1 aircraft carrier, 2 destroyer/frigate air defence, 3 frigates ASW, 2 submarine SSK, 2 AOR vessels.
  • 6 Amphibious Task Groups (2 operational at any time) of : 1 LHA, 2 LHDs, 2 destroyer/frigate air defence, 3 frigates ASW, 2 submarines SSK, 2 AOR vessels.
  • 24 Patrol Task Groups (8 operational at any time) of : 1 destroyer/frigate air defence, 3 frigates ASW, 2 submarines SSK, 1 AOR vessel.
  • 12 Ocean Mine Countermeasures Task Groups (4 operational at any time) of : 4 Ocean MCM vessels.

Mostly in different and smaller formations, part in maintenance and other part working-up.


OPV MEDIUM UNMANNED SURFACE PATROL VESSEL 
– 1 with destroyer, frigate, corvette.

ctiuc-wwoaa9fou-kopie


OPV MEDIUM UNMANNED SURFACE SUPPORT VESSEL 
– 2 with fleet support ships and 1 with LST.

FCS 5009 Patrol 4


CANNON/SAM/LASER CIWS

  • Turret like AGM 155mm and SHORAD module with RAPIDFire NG (AESA radar, 2x CT40 40 mm cannons, a light SAM system (LFK-NG VLS) and a laser system CIWS and RWS/APPS 40 mm AGL. Also land version (see on picture).

AGM-Shorad-Iveco-8x8-


MISSION-TIME

For personal. Not 6 but 4 months. So 4×4 cycle of 4 months.
>>Work-up>mission/operational>recuperation>maintenance><
And 1 on/3 off before a new mission.

Material can last longer and more cycles. Then rotating personal uses and/or maintain the same material. Like a frigate that can stay 8 months away from its homeport and using a rotating 2 crew-model. 
(An example)
rotation scheme for naval vessels and crews

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un-a400m-un-rafale-et-un-eurofighter-allemand-lors-des-repetitions-a-parisAir forces

(example EDU Air forces 2045)
VISION EDU 2045 AIR FORCES


SQUADRON-SIZE
– 16 (+8 maintenance, testing, reserve) for fighters, attack, transport and VTOL UCAV/OPV medium helicopters and trainers.
– 8 (+4 maintenance, testing, training, reserve) or less for transport, AEW and tanker planes and MALE (VTOL) UCAV’s.
– 16 (+8 maintenance, testing, reserve) for VTOL UCAV/OPV helicopter medium (H160M, AW139M, ..)
– 24 (+12 maintenance, testing, reserve) for VTOL UCAV/OPV helicopter light (AWHero, V200 Skeldar, S100, VRS700, and successors)


HELICOPTER AVIATION REGIMENT
A regiment for every airmobile, mountain and marine brigade.
– 16 (+8 maintenance, testing, reserve) attack helicopters;
– 16 (+8 maintenance, testing, reserve) recce/utility OPV helicopters/large VTOL UCAV;
– 24 (+12 maintenance, testing, reserve) medium VTOL UCAV;
– 16 (+8 maintenance, testing, reserve) medium transport helicopters (NH90, AW101, future replacement);
– 12 (+6 maintenance, testing, reserve) heavy transport helicopters (Chinook, future replacement).


NAVAL ATTACK HELICOPTER ASW/ASuW
– 4 on aircraft carrier
– 4 on LHA
– 2 on LHD
– 1 on DD/FF ASW
– 1 on DD/FF AD
– 1 on corvette


RESUPPLY TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
– 2 on AOR (+ 1 training&reserve)


VTOL UCAV/OPV HELICOPTER MEDIUM (H160M, AW139M, ..)
– 16+8 for every airmobile, mountain and marine brigade.
– 3 for every naval and air force base
– 3 for aircraft carrier
– 3 for LHA
– 3 for LHD
– 1 for AOR
– 1 for DD, FF and corvette

VTOL UCAV/OPV HELICOPTER LIGHT (AWHero, V200 Skeldar, S100, VRS700, and successors)
– 24+12 for every mechanised, airmobile, mountain and marine brigade.
– 3 for every naval and air force base
– 6 for aircraft carrier
– 6 for LHA
– 3 for LHD
– 2 for AOR
– 2 for DD, FF or corvette


MISSION TIME

Personal. Not 6 but 4 months. So 4×4 cycle of 4 months.
>>Work-up>mission>recuperation>maintenance><
And 1 on/3 off before a new mission.

Material can last longer and more cycles. Then rotating personal uses and/or maintain the same material.


EUropean programme for combat and transport helicopters (image example based on Airbus Helicopters X3).
Crew 2 + 20 fully equipped soldiers.
Crew in both versions in attack helicopter cockpit configuration and both armed with nose-mounted turret with 40mm CT cannon or 40 mm AGL and an assortment of external missiles can be mounted on the stub wings. The combat helicopter variant has more ammunition and larger propellant supply.
X3 utility concept

EUropean programme for heavy transport helicopter (Chinook-based example pictured).
Crew 2 + 40 fully equipped soldiers.
Future Chinook

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unnamedGendarmerie forces

…..


MISSION TIME

Personal. Not 6 but 4 months. So 4×4 cycle of 4 months.
>>Work-up>mission>recuperation>maintenance><
And 1 on/3 off before a new mission.

Material can last longer and more cycles. Then rotating personal uses and/or maintain the same material.

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WORKED OUT ARMED FORCES OF A COUNTRY BASED ON THESE ASSUMPTIONS

Future (today still fictional) country ‘The Netherlands 2045 (in Dutch) or with still seperately the Netherlands, Belgium and Luxembourg the “Benelux Armed Forces 2045”:
Strategische Visie Krijgsmacht Der Nederlanden 2045 (in Dutch)