Update: The attack on Ukraine unfortunately also took place… Putin apparently saw after the talks no hope for an inclusive European solution (that’s what Russia was asking for!!) and the need to perpetuate the Russian red lines again that he had been pointing at for so long… and explained the reasons for that. Horrible for the Ukrainian civilians and soldiers, but also Russian soldiers and civilians. And that after the great human tragedies in Afghanistan and especially Iraq and region and world!!! (the US, UK, NATO and supporters here were apparently for more reasons in a rush now!!).
No lessons learned?!?! Because too many also apparently did not learn the lessons of those wrong nationalistic projects or quickly forgot them, it seems that also my over 40 years (life)mission has failed. Thank you also on behalf of so many Europeans…unfortunately a minority, also within politics and fellow experts…who did remember, correctly understood and continued to apply these painfully learned historical European lessons and therefore recent lessons… and so wanted like me an inclusive and undivided Europe!!! But too many…part loyal gullible but also bad collaborators…and most because of the huge amount of propaganda and disinformation right here with and towards us and effects of mass formation and hysteria, now think that the failure of this all and this horrific proxy war in Ukraine is the fault of only Russia and even only this devilish Putin himself!!! They should know…
So the end of the EUropean dream!!! And not NATO but the EU now brain death!! Or is it not still…?! I still hold out a tiny bit of hope…a tiny bit…
Sorry to tell you..the EUropean dream has come to an end..
The EU took a wrong turn last week. The majority decided to remains part of Pax Americana..meaning divided and controlled. That means it will get weaker and I expect also breaking up further..
Because if you do not create a solid foundation under your own building but lean on another building next to yours, your building will collapse in even a light storm, if the owner of that other building will reduce its support to your building out of self-interest (and they probably will do one day…). And by using this construction, you are already creating a strong wind at your building..
And so Europe is divided again by a new iron curtain that will increasingly take shape in the coming years. So we are back in the old days before 1989, the days of the “old” Cold War. Which actually never really stopped in certain political capitals and too many heads. For a time to which too many (former)politicians and think-tankers still look back with positive nostalgia.
So life in the EU will get tougher in the coming decades, given the increasingly tough geopolitical and geoeconomic battle for influence in the world and for a larger share of the wealth. Poorer people want their share too. Creating more wealth is becoming increasingly difficult now that the earth is exhausted and climate change requires reduction.And we have it in abundance. But protect it badly. So less prosperity and less well-being for EUropeans.. sad future.. own fault!!
Sadly recognition of Donetsk and Luhansk was a logical next step of Russia to take when an inclusive undivided European solution and vision was constantly torpedoed by US, UK, NATO and (EU) allies. Despite efforts by Germans new chancellor Scholz and especially by the French president Macron!! Besides sanctions against Russia will not help at all!! I explained in this thread on Twitter..
So it was the EU, the real centre and goal of this conflict, who faced a fundamental choice!! Remain part of Pax Americana, divided and controlled in a divided Europe, as USA, UK and supporters want?! Or an autonomous Pax EUropaea, of which Ukraine, Belarus and Russia also become part?!
Sadly, the majority of the leaders of the EU took the wrong turn. They want to remain being part of Pax Americana. The moment of the “The EU now faces..” in the title of a former blog post is past now…
As an EUropean Dutch polemologist I chose for an autonomous Pax EUropaea and an undivided Europe. I defended that vision for 27 years now.. but I lost last week. Sadly Merkel left office. She kept earlier attempts (like in March 2021) of the US, UK, NATO and their supporters within the EU down and gave hope for an inclusive European future.
She left and they took their chance. Putin’s Russia then put them on the spot but they flatly refused to come to an inclusive European solution. As Putin likes(ed) it to.. also his vision from 2010. Only the French president Macron made still an real attempt into this direction but lost the battle without the direct support of Merkel and with the new German chancellor Scholz still too weak and unexperienced.
The cynical thing is that by offering that, Russia would not be appeased, but rather put in front of the bloc itself. Do you want Putin’s vision or not? If so, develop and implement a vision, towards an inclusive and undivided Europe. If not, and not for relevant reasons, we know that your intentions are probably not positive. That is also why I am completely convinced that the US, UK, NATO and their supporters in the EU absolutely did not want this. Also without Putin. Not even if Russia had been a democracy.
Russia does/(did) not want this situation at all..as it also fears neighbour China! Therefore Putin’s vision in 2010 for creating first a EU-Russia free trade zone and even joining EU!!! This proposal repeated by Merkel in 2015 as peace gesture!! But well.. too many EU politicians, journalists and colleagues prefer to believe our power and economic competi… uuhh… allies who were and are vehemently against this vision!!
In authoritarian one-party state China, Xi Jinping and the regime look on with satisfaction. The EU again divided and controlled by the US.. weakened.. will further weaken and disintegrate!! And Russia, fearing for China and resisting, is being pressed more firmly into their sphere of influence and will soon have lost Siberia.. as the Chinese regime is looking for much more lebensraum…
So end of the story of the EUropean dream..
So end of a strong(er) more autonomous EU..
So end of the EU..?!
Future will tell.. but I am not hopeful..
Former US president Trump had warned us in a way.. in all his bluntness but irreverent openness sometimes. Told what he thought of the EU. And the Republicans and Democrats think the same about the EU!! But our EU politicians and experts were far too busy with their obsession with Putin and their underestimation of the corona pandemic..
More recently, we as EU received another clear warning about this anti-EU power politics from the US and it’s close allies..AUKUS!! But people here liked to mock president Macron and France more than to see the real implications for the EU itself. I already saw the problem..
And I have been proved right in recent weeks!! Unfortunately…
Talking about this kind of deception, propaganda and disinformation of these two allies, the US and UK… in 2003!! With very deadly destructive impact in Iraq, region, EU and world..
Hundreds of thousands death and wounded, many killed and wounded soldiers of our own, major refugees and migration flows, IS, terror, failed democratic rise, failed states, North Korea and Iran’s nuclear weapons problem, loss of own credibility, etc.)..
And still..many seem already to have forgotten. Just as they have apparently forgotten other lessons from our European past!!
So who was really firing up the conflict with Russia around Ukraine?!
I know.. I warned.. but the propaganda and disinformation was to great and extensive. So unfortunately most still think differently.. see Putin’s Russia as the main guilty one.. even too many of my colleagues.
So, sadly too, many still think that nothing has changed. The EU can go on as before. Can get more autonomous. Enlarge. They are wrong!! And they are going to feel it.. painfully.. as the wrong turn has been taken. The EU project is over. It will be something of the past soon. So get used to it. It’s going to be a tough ride…
And our EU politicians also thank you on behalf of our, Russian, Ukrainian and Belarusian children by the way ..who.. just like Putin turns out, if you had believed and trusted him and not his (and our) opponents.. also saw their future within an inclusive undivided EUropa!!
No no not so…na-na-na-na-na!!!!